The British pound continued to rally against is currency counterpart this week following the improved outlook held by the National Institute of Economic and Social Research, and long-term expectations for higher interest rates in the U.K. may continue to drive the GBP/CHF higher over the near-term.

urrency Pair: GBP/CHF

Chart: 60 Min Charts

Short-Term Bias: Flat

Analysis

آ The British pound continued to rally against is currency counterpart this week following the improved outlook held by the National Institute of Economic and Social Research, and long-term expectations for higher interest rates in the U.K. may continue to drive the GBP/CHF higher over the near-term. After reaching a high of 1.8976 in November, the pound-franc slipped to a low of 1.5124 on 12/29 following the rise in risk aversion, and the turnaround in market sentiment led the pair to push back above 1.7490-1.7500- (61.8% Fib) this week. However, the lack of momentum to break above 1.7715, the 2009 high, paired with the bearish divergence in the relative strength index suggests that the GBP/CHF is putting in a top, and we may see the pair fall back below the 61.8% Fib to fill-in the gap from the 120 moving average. Over the next few hours of trading, we may see the pair give back and work its way down to 1.7464, the 120 SMA, and a break below the moving average could lead the pair to test 1.7040-50 (50.0% Fib) for support. Be sure to check out other Technical Reports from DailyFX for additional information on the major currency pairs.

from yahoo finance