eBook << Trend Forecasting With Technical Analysis >> PDF

Posted January 8th, 2010 in Forex Books by 4x

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ANALYSIS CONTROVERSY

Posted December 13th, 2009 in Forex Tips & Advises by 4x

Hello everybody,

Chinoiserie not today … but paved the duck pond! I have no certainty that matters, that things that tickle me!

آ agricultural credit was based an advertising campaign on common sense …. after reading many posts I wonder if the campaign would be doomed to failure today.

آ Some think I’m a grumpy old man, an acid of trading … probably! I am far from saying the opposite!

  1. Aggregation time chandeliers …. it tickles me this long story … closing price during the opening of a candle in 1 minute ….. god it is good! What value can have this information? can we ever imagine that the guy who started the order was made in 59 seconds?
  2. Differences ….. honestly in the mid 90s, I used it, but now, save time, I give you the recipe: Take a one euro coin, the toss and see the result! is the symbolic differences.
  3. آ The volumes separately on the stock … that the true volume, raise your hand? you lean on the central issue, these volumes they represent what? open interest? I leave you looking ….
  4. specific points, pivots of all kinds, round numbers, daily, weekly, monthly …… honestly if a price can not touch one of these remarkable point is a miracle, it’s everywhere! as we consider most areas ….. it becomes really funny!
  5. conspiracy theory: if the course does not go where I predicted, once again the ruskofs!

آ and I’ll pass …..

آ we must return to simple things, basic. The complexity is not the shortest route to success.

آ The grail you before your eyes is the price! Price made the indicators and not vice versa! indicators are lagging behind, often the spark pulse!

آ I hear the back of the room …. yes yes ….. but I ichimoku trade with ichimoku, lean on its structure and you will see that this system is much higher, the lowest of concepts of cycle, the price, the price difference. It’s so visual that I put ….. 5 seconds per graph to see if setup ….

آ I use these lines to welcome the initiative lliane on pro-AT, the birth of a queue ichimoku is a good thing. I work more on a security approach, therefore, not aggressive system, which is easily tamed if it is used …… not seeing his own desires and if one makes the multi UT. It’s my opinion. No wasted time finding settings …. it works very good standard. A word to the backtests simon …. and ….. do metatrader Heat milk in a sieve …. the parallel is good …. the backtests could be in the first part of my prose ….! ichimoku also a feature, it is a trend follower … but you said, boy, is flat …… there is no trend! and this discretion can only see it.

آ You see I only lift the carpet to put the dust ….. I bring no solution … I’m probably too old to hear MMEA 1 period and again ….. I have a collector ….. but it makes me laugh more.

آ If there are volunteers to create a file Renko, Kagi ….. I encourage them, there’s food for thought with these Chinese …. Japanese! if there are people interested in a small development ….. a little message!

Have a Nice Day

آ 

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CAC 40: Analysis MT – S51-2009

Posted December 13th, 2009 in Forex Tips & Advises by 4x

Invest-AT is dedicated to the medium and long term, it is not a site which focuses on the intraday. The analysis technique is to when it even less relevant than the time horizon recedes and consequently should be weighted our analysis with a dose fundamental. This is the year 2009 has shown a marked disconnection fairly basic compared to the technique, which does not facilitate such an approach. What is common cons by the AT and AF is the psychology of traders. A psychology that underlies the formation of stock prices and largely explains that market fluctuations are never to be sustainably managed modeled by computer systems. Let me first return to a view of the main stock index that significantly influence the overall financial centers of the world, it is of course the S & P 500.

آ  This view weekly since 2007 must warn you about the importance of current levels may be joined or even surpassed (see my question on the chart above). Indeed, we are witnessing since March 2009 an upward trend that the general damns the downside is unwavering and that somehow gives the impression of even surpass the LT bearish trend. An upward dynamic that is found on a MACD indicators (reference 5), which arrives bearing on its support and especially an RSI (reference 6) which does not yet entered into overbought zone (> 70). Now to view the range of daily ABC that accompanies the rise since March 2009:

An upward as-you-see’m so smooth the median of this range ABC, so that even with the age of the latter, we are tempted to keep it saw its relevance. Zoom in UT day is useful for understanding the current dynamics of the movement.

آ 

آ If you are willing to recognize that 9> 7> 5> 3> 1 and 8> 6> 4> 2 then you will probably arrive at the same conclusion as me: the trend is upward. However, it is clear that on the CAC 40 over the past three months saw the establishment of what should qualify as a market range which translates into a horizontal drift as you can verify sue the zoom below below.

آ 

Zoom who first saw the oscillations large enough to become akin to entering a squeeze, which reflects a market waiting phase.

On the last day chart of the CAC 40, it should be noted:

• 4 impacts (1-2-4 and 6) on the area of 38.2% retracement of the 2007-2009 lower
• The range 3-4-5 through the last bull attack
• 5 is greater than 3 and 7 is itself greater than 5
• 6 marks a test of the median of the range 3-4-5
The investor must be aware that the markets in general and the CAC 40 in particular marks a pause for 3 months. This break is characterized by a sideways drift that can be considered as a neutral trend in UT days.

This finding should not lead to the conclusion that the upward movement of the medium term that originated on the lower end of March 2009 is over.

Seasonality is not only conducive to Christmas, it is traditionally used to tell operations grooming assets which are used to translate into higher values that are best performed during the year and down those who have underperformed. This is therefore a factor of support and before December 31, it seems rather difficult to consider a correction that exceeds the range identified in the above analysis.

CONCLUSION:
It will be for operators to achieve retrieve the CAC 40 in the range from 3600 to 3900 to enable him to be back on the road to 4200 (with spillover strength of 3900) or come test the very important support of 3400 which embodies the line of neck ‘broad extinguisher that is becoming more and more questionable given the time elapsed since its overflow

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